BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Penn St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 87 Conference: Big 10 Record: (5-15) Overall: (14-17) Overall Strength =   48.29

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-09-2022 Home    W    40.18  67  61    1 192 ( 23-  6) Norfolk St             -9.16     15.16                      
  2 11-11-2022 Home    W    56.37  77  49    1 254 ( 15- 14) Fairfield               7.03     20.97                      
  3 11-15-2022 Home    W    49.55  77  63    1 165 ( 19- 11) Youngstown St           0.21     13.79                      
  4 11-18-2022 Home    W    80.83  96  33    1 334 (  9- 21) Bryant                 31.49 *   31.51                      
  5 11-21-2022 Home    W    65.36  82  69    1  49 ( 18- 12) Syracuse               16.03     -3.03                      
  6 11-25-2022 Neutral W    50.92  60  59    1  75 ( 25-  4) Toledo                  1.59     -0.59                      
  7 11-26-2022 Neutral W    53.64  68  49    1 216 ( 10- 22) Fresno St               4.31     14.69                      
  8 11-30-2022 Home    L    32.08  68  89    1  59 ( 15- 15) Virginia              -17.26     -3.74                      
  9 12-03-2022 Away    L *  47.24  96  98 2  1 101 ( 11- 19) Minnesota              -2.09      0.09                      
 10 12-08-2022 Home    L *  60.94  58  67    1   3 ( 27-  3) Indiana                11.60    -20.60                      
 11 12-11-2022 Home    W    62.97  69  57    1  54 ( 19- 10) West Virginia          13.63     -1.63                      
 12 12-18-2022 Away    L    39.61  82  86 1  1 138 ( 21-  8) Drexel                 -9.73      5.73                      
 13 12-21-2022 Home    W    59.63  79  48    1 268 ( 10- 17) Cornell                10.29     20.71                      
 14 12-30-2022 Home    W *  56.11  90  72    1 135 ( 12- 20) Rutgers                 6.77     11.23                      
 15 01-03-2023 Away    L *  55.41  72  82    1  22 ( 22-  9) Michigan                6.07    -16.07                      
 16 01-07-2023 Home    W *  65.18  70  60    1  45 ( 19- 10) Purdue                 15.85     -5.85                      
 17 01-11-2023 Away    L *  32.70  51  80    1  39 ( 16- 14) Nebraska              -16.63    -12.37                      
 18 01-14-2023 Away    L *  32.52  67 108    1   6 ( 26-  6) Iowa                  -16.82    -24.18                      
 19 01-18-2023 Home    L *  36.12  67  75    1 101 ( 11- 19) Minnesota             -13.21      5.21                      
 20 01-22-2023 Home    W *  49.04  74  69    1  94 ( 11- 20) Wisconsin              -0.29      5.29                      
 21 01-26-2023 Away    L *  39.23  82  86 1  1 135 ( 12- 20) Rutgers               -10.11      6.11                      
 22 01-30-2023 Away    L *  47.83  66  87    1  11 ( 25-  6) Maryland               -1.50    -19.50                      
 23 02-02-2023 Home    W *  51.81  74  64    1 108 (  9- 21) Northwestern            2.47      7.53                      
 24 02-05-2023 Home    L *  24.39  51  95    1   6 ( 26-  6) Iowa                  -24.94    -19.06                      
 25 02-12-2023 Away    L *  56.71  75  81 1  1  48 ( 16- 14) Michigan St             7.38    -13.38                      
 26 02-16-2023 Home    L *  50.88  55  67    1  15 ( 25-  7) Ohio St                 1.55    -13.55                      
 27 02-19-2023 Away    L *  38.20  62  85    1  44 ( 22-  9) Illinois              -11.13    -11.87                      
 28 02-22-2023 Away    L *  36.30  62  86    1  45 ( 19- 10) Purdue                -13.03    -10.97                      
 29 02-25-2023 Home    L *  42.59  65  80    1  48 ( 16- 14) Michigan St            -6.74     -8.26                      
 30 03-01-2023 Neutral W *  51.68  72  67    1 101 ( 11- 19) Minnesota               2.35      2.65                      
 31 03-02-2023 Away    L *  63.41  61  63    1  22 ( 22-  9) Michigan               14.07    -16.07                      
      Averages              49.34  70.8 72.1

Best game:   80.83 = 63 point win over Bryant
Worst game:  24.39 = 44 point loss to Iowa
Team stdev:  12.42